Continuing to fight without American weapons: the situation with air defense, artillery, and shells without the US, and why it is realistic

In an extended episode of the Overengineered Podcast, critical issues regarding the supply of arms to the Ukrainian army were discussed, especially in light of the potential end of supplies from the United States. Experts, including Pavlo Narozhny and Dmytro Chukanov, provided a detailed analysis of the situation concerning air defense systems, artillery, and other types of weaponry. They addressed challenges related to the supply of systems like Patriot, Iris-T, and M777, as well as the possibilities of substituting American equipment with European alternatives. The experts cautioned that the most significant difficulties might arise with high-tech air defense systems and long-range artillery, while the outlook for mortars and MLRS seems more promising. They also examined the production of ammunition, highlighting that the USA remains a crucial supplier, while European countries are only starting to ramp up their manufacturing capabilities.

The current situation regarding air defense systems, including the Patriot system.

A critical situation regarding air defense systems, particularly the American Patriot systems, was discussed. Experts pointed out that Ukraine currently has six Patriot batteries, but the issue lies in the fact that spare parts and components can only be sourced from the United States. The discussion also covered missile production, where the United States can manufacture up to 600 missiles annually, while alternative suppliers like Japan and Saudi Arabia have much lower production capacities.

Artillery systems and ammunition

Experts discussed the situation regarding artillery systems, specifically focusing on the American M777 and M109. They noted that Ukraine has received a substantial number of M777, which are regarded as one of the most successful artillery systems. The conversation also addressed issues with ammunition production, where the United States continues to be a key supplier, while European countries are just starting to ramp up their production capabilities.

The current situation regarding armored vehicles and other weaponry.

The situation regarding armored vehicles was discussed, particularly the Abrams tanks, Bradleys, and other systems. Experts highlighted that while the number of Abrams tanks is limited, a substantial amount of Bradleys and other armored vehicles supports the Ukrainian army. There were also discussions about repair and maintenance issues, particularly problems with electronics and specific spare parts.

Action Items

Pavlo Narozhny suggested continuing to work with the United States to secure new shipments of military equipment.

Dmitro Chukanov suggested enhancing collaboration with European allies to boost ammunition production.

Experts suggested focusing on developing domestic production of mortar shells and mortars.

The need to establish new production facilities for artillery shells in Ukraine has been discussed.